By Wallace Witkowski, MarketWatch
Costco, AutoZone, Avago Tech still left to report
First-quarter earnings reports are winding down, and most
companies appear to have dodged the dreaded year-over-year decline.
That should free investors to refocus their concerns on broader
economic data in the week ahead.
Stocks finished the week mixed
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-set-to-sideline-ahead-of-yellen-long-weekend-2015-05-22)
with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) declining 0.2% and the
S&P 500 Index (SPX) ticking up nearly 0.2%. The Nasdaq
Composite Index (RIXF) gained 0.8%.
With heavy earnings traffic out of the way for the next six
weeks, macroeconomic data is going to carry more heft in the
market, said John Canally, chief economic strategist at LPL
Financial.
Friday's expected downward GDP revision will likely be ignored
given transitory factors and "statistical noise"
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/yellen-unmoved-by-soft-data-says-she-expects-rate-hike-this-year-2015-05-22)
as noted by Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen on Friday, he
said. Even with the first-quarter weakness, Yellen said she sees
the economy well positioned for growth. A better insight into that
positioning this week will come in the form of economic data such
as April durable goods orders and home sales data, according to
Canally.
"In that they give us a sense of a bounce-back, those will be
quite important," the strategist said.
Also, a slew of GDP reports from such countries as the U.K.,
India, Brazil, Switzerland, and Canada at the end of the week will
give investors a better picture of how well the global economic
recovery is going, Canally said.
Earnings not great, but no decline
Earnings reports last week nudged the blended earnings growth
rate up to 0.3% for the first quarter, a far cry from the estimated
4% drop from a few months ago.
The quarter, however, remained a tough one, especially as a
stronger dollar put a dent in international sales for U.S.
companies. Of the 12 Dow components that broke out European sales
figures, nine reported a year-over-year decline, the highest number
since the fourth quarter of 2012, according to John Butters, senior
earnings analyst at FactSet.
The stronger dollar is going to remain a challenge for the
current quarter. After cooling down a bit since the end of the
second quarter, the U.S. dollar (DXY) picked up some momentum
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/dollar-slips-against-yen-as-investors-await-boj-kuroda-remarks-2015-05-22)
against six other major currencies this past week.
For the broader S&P 500, sales had their worst quarter since
2009 with a 2.9% decline, owing mainly to lower oil prices that
rocked the energy sector. Excluding energy sector revenue figures,
the S&P 500 would have seen a 2.4% gain, according to FactSet's
Butters.
Though all the Dow components have already released their latest
quarterly results, there are still a few S&P 500 components and
other notable companies left to report this week.
Notable companies reporting earnings this week
Report Date Company/Ticker (FactSet EPS / revenue estimate)
Mon., May 25 U.S. holiday, markets closed, no reports
Tues., May 26 Autozone Inc. US:AZO ($9.52 / $2.5 billion)Workday Inc. US:WDAY (loss of 8 cents / $245 million)
Weds., May 27 Costco Wholesale Corp. US:COST ($1.16 / $26.66 billion)Tiffany & Co. US:TIF (70 cents / $918.8 million)Michael Kors Holdings Ltd. US:KORS (91 cents / $1.09 billion)Palo Alto Networks Inc. US:PANW (20 cents / $223.4 million)Toll Brothers Inc. US:TOL (35 cents / $860.9 million)
Thurs., May 28 Avago Technologies Ltd. US:AVGO ($2.01 / $1.63 billion) GameStop Corp. US:GME (58 cents / $2.02 billion)Ulta Salon Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc. US:ULTA (93 cents / $845.1 million)
Fri., May 29 none
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